Hi Mickey: A simpler explanation: Fraud in Detroit, Milwaukee, Philly, and Altanta can let the Democrats steal the Presidential election. It doesn't let them steal House seats, because all the House seats in those areas are already Dem. It let them steal one Senate seat (MI, James), and throw two to runoffs (GA). McSally got fewer votes than Trump, so "Republicans don't like Trump" doesn't seem a winning argument
That sounds plausible. I will await the data nerds' confirmation. There is an interesting Stanford article from 2015 that posits that "Mail Voting Can Decrease Ballot Roll-Off", however. http://stanford.edu/~wpmarble/docs/rolloff_feb_2016.pdf
Seems like they're combining two very different scenarios:
1) roll-off, where voters skip some down-ticket items that they don't care about. They say more than 10% of voters do that. Well, I do that, in every election. Bond measures I don't recognize, judges.
2) voters who voted for Joe Biden and nothing else. How common is that? No idea. I don't believe for a minute that a lot of voters do that, in any election. I never have come anywhere close to doing it. If it's true that it happens a lot, I'd like to see evidence.
Could ballot rolloff not explain the election result as well?
How many people, weary of Trump, voted reflexively for Biden and submitted their ballots by mail before the NYPost Hunter Laptop Carnival began on Oct. 14?
A friend was among this group. "How do I get my vote back?" he said around Oct. 20. He was serious, but In his state there was nothing he could do.
In most states, the votes cast on election day -- Nov. 3 this year -- are the first ones counted after polls close; absentee ballots are counted later. This would explain Trump's seeming strength among those familiar with the HLC and Biden's somewhat greater popularity in later-counted ballots that had been submitted before the laptop story broke.
The press disgraced itself here. In the old theory of journalism, news organizations are supposed to investigate an interesting report and find out whether it is true, not to decide first whether such would be good for the Democrats.
I go for the simples argument possible: Trump + Covid = Biden presidency. Trump - Covid = Trump presidency. Voters blame the guy in charge when things go wrong and massive unemployment, upheaval, etc. meant Trump had a huge hole to climb out of. But while voters blamed Trump for the problems with the virus they did not hold it against Republicans in general.
Election fraud. Jesus. Is there even any question?
Hi Mickey: A simpler explanation: Fraud in Detroit, Milwaukee, Philly, and Altanta can let the Democrats steal the Presidential election. It doesn't let them steal House seats, because all the House seats in those areas are already Dem. It let them steal one Senate seat (MI, James), and throw two to runoffs (GA). McSally got fewer votes than Trump, so "Republicans don't like Trump" doesn't seem a winning argument
That sounds plausible. I will await the data nerds' confirmation. There is an interesting Stanford article from 2015 that posits that "Mail Voting Can Decrease Ballot Roll-Off", however. http://stanford.edu/~wpmarble/docs/rolloff_feb_2016.pdf
Seems like they're combining two very different scenarios:
1) roll-off, where voters skip some down-ticket items that they don't care about. They say more than 10% of voters do that. Well, I do that, in every election. Bond measures I don't recognize, judges.
2) voters who voted for Joe Biden and nothing else. How common is that? No idea. I don't believe for a minute that a lot of voters do that, in any election. I never have come anywhere close to doing it. If it's true that it happens a lot, I'd like to see evidence.
Fraud
Could ballot rolloff not explain the election result as well?
How many people, weary of Trump, voted reflexively for Biden and submitted their ballots by mail before the NYPost Hunter Laptop Carnival began on Oct. 14?
A friend was among this group. "How do I get my vote back?" he said around Oct. 20. He was serious, but In his state there was nothing he could do.
In most states, the votes cast on election day -- Nov. 3 this year -- are the first ones counted after polls close; absentee ballots are counted later. This would explain Trump's seeming strength among those familiar with the HLC and Biden's somewhat greater popularity in later-counted ballots that had been submitted before the laptop story broke.
The press disgraced itself here. In the old theory of journalism, news organizations are supposed to investigate an interesting report and find out whether it is true, not to decide first whether such would be good for the Democrats.
I go for the simples argument possible: Trump + Covid = Biden presidency. Trump - Covid = Trump presidency. Voters blame the guy in charge when things go wrong and massive unemployment, upheaval, etc. meant Trump had a huge hole to climb out of. But while voters blamed Trump for the problems with the virus they did not hold it against Republicans in general.