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Joe Canimal's avatar

Good summary, but your footnote about Justice Thomas should read "privileges OR immunities". Read the 14th Amendment. (And, of course, that the results based jurisprudence but from the supposedly moderate right analysis that you admirably exemplify in this post leads to mush just underscores that Justice Thomas's approach is correct.)

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Christopher B's avatar

Undermining "substantive due process" was exactly the point of the Alito/Thomas one-two punch in Dobbs which is why Thomas assigned it to Alito as the senior Justice in the original 5 vote majority before Roberts gave up his Quixotic quest to keep Roe in play. Thomas wanted to write a concurrence that made the case for going even farther down that road. There are possibly four votes right now to substantially revise it (Thomas, Alito, likely Gorsuch, maybe Barrett). Roberts is a lost cause too wedded to the whole concept of rights as being secured by process rather than legislation, as well as too concerned about the Court's 'reputation', i.e. whether the elite media and others go flaming bonkers over rulings. Kavanaugh is probably on the fence for the same reason but less concerned about liberal reactions. Thomas might even be able to persuade one of the more fair minded liberals (i.e. Kagan) that 'privileges or immunities', aka a position that recognizes rights as pre-existing government and only secured by government action, is a firmer footing for decisions like recognizing same-sex marriages.

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